Threat Mongering by Erick San Juan

Just recently the United States has warned its citizens of continuing threats due to terrorists and insurgents in Mindanao, citing the terror activities of the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) in the region.

“The Department of State warns US citizens of the risks of travel to the Philippines, in particular to the Sulu archipelago, the island of Mindanao, and the southern Sulu Sea area,” the US State Department said in its latest travel warning.

And just before this, the Global Terrorism Index ranked our country to No. 9, where the threat of terrorism and the presence of terrorist groups are still prevalent.

Many will ask (especially this writer), the fact that the US military is ever present (for quite some time now) in the southern part of the country, why the hell that such terrorists are still causing havoc in Mindanao? And after the government and the MILF (almost) in the final stage of granting the so-called ‘agreement’, why deal with them if they (MILF) can’t even help in stopping Islamic terrorism in Mindanao? That could be the least that they can do to assure the whole country of a peaceful Mindanao in the process.

To make matters worse, the Manilakbayan (Mindanao People’s Journey) also made a statement recently that the US government is keeping more “boots on the ground” in Mindanao, where there is only a pocket terrorist threat.

The Manilakbayan said US President Barrack Obama ordered an additional 1,500 troops to augment the remaining 1,400 American troops in Iraq supposedly to fight the Islamic State (ISIS). And according to Fr.Christopher Ablon, the group’s spokesperson, there are about 6,000 US troops, or double the Iraq deployment, are stationed in Camp Navarro in Zamboanga City.

This is possible due to the enforcement of the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) via the Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT) and its relative, the (questionable) Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement (EDCA). “Agreements” that allow American troops (whose number no one knows), to ‘visit’ their virtual military bases here on rotational basis.

That is why I find it very relevant this message I got from my friend Erik Espina, columnist of Manila Bulletin and GNN TV host when he said, “the West, in the guise of saving Syria is dividing a country to capture for itself the oil-rich producing areas.

The Philippines is another Syrian solution to decapitate Southern Mindanao from the rest of the country.”

Translation – balkanization, a possible scenario which I have been warning the government through my writings and daily radio program that we should be wary in dealing with the West when it comes to ‘helping” us solve the insurgency/terrorism problem in the South.

By helping our brothers in the south through livelihood, schools, education, health programs, infrastructure, etc., what they are not saying is what’s in it for them?

“… it is not true either that America is giving us almost everything for nothing; on the contrary it is we who have given, and are giving, and will continue to give America almost everything for nothing… (Senator Claro M. Recto in his May 12, 1952 speech).

According to Mike Whitney of Counter Punch, quoting Nafeez Ahmed, the author of How the West Created the Islamic State said that since 2003, Anglo-American power has secretly and openly coordinated direct and indirect support for Islamist terrorist groups linked to Al Qaeda across the Middle East and North Africa. This reported ill-conceived patchwork geostrategy is a legacy of the persistent influence of neoconservative ideology, motivated by longstanding but often contradictory ambitions to dominate regional oil resources, defend an expansionist Israel and in pursuit of these, re-draw the map of the Middle East. So thus the world.

The fight against ISIS is merely a pretext for regime change", Whitney said. Because of what the Bush Jr's administration did to Iraq, America can't once again move in the Middle East and be seen as the real aggressor. It needs proxy as operators thus creating several outfits like IS, ISIS, ISIL, etc who were mostly Al Qaeda warriors recruited worldwide by military contractors and disguised them as Islamist.

If they are really Muslims, why are they killing fellow Muslims? Using another old script of the feud between Sunni and Shiite. This a master piece of the divide and rule agenda.

The other day, the world was surprised when US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel whom I met at the Shangrila Security Dialogue last year in Singapore resigned(translation-FIRED) when he said that there's now a ROGUE NEW WORLD ORDER. Pundits believe that this is Sec. Hagel's way of 'good riddance' that he's out of job than having a conscience bothering him.

There are still good Americans out there who cannot swallow the dictates of the 'globalists' controlling governments. May their tribe increase!

EDCA: Too Late the Remedies? By Erick San Juan

This quotation should remind us, especially the people in important positions who will decide the fate of this country when it comes to its security vis-à-vis its sovereignty.

"When the situation was manageable it was neglected, and now that it is thoroughly out of hand we apply too late the remedies which then might have effected a cure. There is nothing new in the story. It is as old as the sibylline books. It falls into that long, dismal catalogue of the fruitlessness of experience and the confirmed unteachability of mankind. Want of foresight, unwillingness to act when action would be simple and effective, lack of clear thinking, confusion of counsel until the emergency comes, until self-preservation strikes its jarring gong – these are the features which constitute the endless repetition of history." (Winston Churchill)

After the Supreme Court heard the first oral arguments (November 18, 2014) on petitions against the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement (EDCA) with the United States, it is clear that what Senator Miriam Santiago pointed out in early May (after a few days that the EDCA was signed in April 18, 2014) about the constitutionality of the said agreement is still the basic argument that violates the law of the land.

The following are the constitutional provisions that were violated because of the EDCA:

Article 7, Sec. 21 “No treaty or international agreement shall be valid and effective unless concurred in by at least two-thirds of all the members of the Senate.”

Article 18, Sec. 25 “After the expiration in 1991 of the Agreement between the Republic of the Philippines and the United States of American concerning Military Bases, foreign military bases, troops, or facilities, shall not be allowed in the Philippines except under a treaty duly concurred in by the Senate and, when the Congress so requires, ratified by a majority of the votes cast by the people in a national referendum held for that purpose, and recognized as a treaty by the other contracting State.”

Article II, Section 8 of the Constitution prohibiting nuclear weapons in the country.

Unfortunately, during the oral arguments, Supreme Court Chief Justice Lourdes Sereno offered arguments to dismiss petitioners' claim that EDCA requires Senate ratification. Next, she dismissed as "speculative" declarations made by petitioners that EDCA violates territorial integrity and sovereignty and that it is meant only to advance US interests and not the Philippines'.

And when anti-EDCA counsel Rachel Pastores argued that EDCA poses threats to national sovereignty and integrity, Sereno started talking about the incursions in the West Philippine Sea as the "single biggest threat" to the country's security.

The Chief Justice wrapped up to say that expanded US military presence in the country – along with the prepositioning of their ships and other defense assets – may be needed to defend the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea). (Rappler.com)

I have written several articles on this issue – the presence of Uncle Sam’s military troops and military equipment actually serve as a magnet to all its enemies (not only China) instead of protection against its enemies. The mere fact that during the Scarborough Shoal standoff, the US government did not take any stand or had shown any support for the Philippines. Unlike on the issue of the disputed territories between China and Japan, when China started “bullying” Japan, the US supported the Japanese through its air and naval forces.

The nagging question remains, if push comes to shove (by China), will the Americans give its all out military support to the Philippines (as what we deserve as an ally) in the contested area in the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea?

So the statement by CJ Sereno that it is premature to challenge EDCA’s legality based on speculations and past experience, remember – “When the situation was manageable it was neglected, and now that it is thoroughly out of hand we apply too late the remedies which then might have effected a cure.”

Are we going to wait for another “Nicole” and “Jennifer” and the possibility of a regional conflict from a simple miscalculation and stupidity by simply kowtowing to a perceived master?

I don't want to be misunderstood. America is a known friend and ally. But we and our government should wake up to the reality that we should protect our nation's interest before it's too late.

I envy the Okinawan people. When I attended the East West Center conference in Okinawa few months back, I have seen the big difference. Its their attitude, discipline and patriotism. Despite their anti-US bases stand, a so called 'house rule' is followed by both parties. You cannot see any US military personnel in their streets, shopping centers, etc except a few at the airport travelling out of Okinawa. You cannot see any bar or night clubs near the US base. Strict discipline is followed.

Respect begets respect. "Walang tutulong sa atin kundi tayo mismo!"          

Ukraine and the Alarming Nuclear Issue by Erick San Juan

Ukraine and the Alarming Nuclear Issue by Erick San Juan

While the world leaders are talking peace and economic development at the APEC( Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation) hosted by the Beijing government in China, there is an alarming report by Townhall.com's Night Watch about a possible full scale war going on in Eastern Ukraine.

It was reportedly confirmed by Andriy Purhin, the deputy prime minister of the Donetsk People's Republic. He said that they are now being attacked but they are defending. Purhin added that the ceasefire was not being observed on 75% of the demarcation line and fighting in places where they weren't fighting before.

What went wrong? There is a strong radicalization of the political situation in Ukraine. In last October parliamentary elections, open source reported that the real opposition is barred to participate. Numerous ultranationalist warlords claimed parliamentary seats. The situation allegedly lead not only to the degradation of brewing political situation but also escalated tensions in Europe.

Brussels obsession on policy matters will seriously detract the European Union from developing better relations with its Asian partners and organizations. Neither Europe nor Asia can afford this state of affairs in this present condition.

According to Los Angeles Times (Nov.5,2014), Russia's Foreign Ministry announced that it will respect the will of separatist voters in eastern Ukraine who elected leaders for their proclaimed independent republics in defiance of international warnings that their actions were illegal.

The current government in Ukraine is extremely heterogeneous. It is believed that its leadership is controlled by the US, as well as fanatical leaders who are known as well-armed radical nationalists.

The oligarchs in Ukraine reportedly protect their interests by their own private armies and only nominally is under the control of Kiev. Each leader will allegedly not hesitate to use force in the struggle for power.

Just like our Muslim political warlords in the south, the temptation to gain advantage over opponents is shown by their possession of weapons of mass destruction for they are accustomed to use force to control.

Nuclear threat is being asserted by the Ukrainian leaders. Obviously, the cynical nuclear expression by the Ukrainian political leaders is not only directed against Russia but also addressed indirectly to the world community especially the European Union in order to allegedly force it not to weaken the political nor the financial and material support to Kiev which is getting more immersed in deep crisis.

It is known among nation-states possessing weapons of mass destruction that it radicalizes the political situation in those regions. Ukraine in its present state is no exception.

The political and military leadership of Ukraine is haunted by the fact that since the Soviet Union, it was the warehouse of thousands of nuclear weapons and intercontinental ballistic missiles kept in several strategic military complexes. It's nuclear power plants, nuclear research center and its uranium reserve, the largest in Europe could still spell danger not only to Europe but also to the world.

Night Watch believe that the security situation appears to be deteriorating and fighting will increase. Its time for the United Nation to handle the Ukraine situation with utmost care before all hell break loose.

Prelude to the New World Order by Erick San Juan

 Prelude to the New World Order by Erick San Juan


Everyday, we have been digesting fear-from hunger, epidemics, calamities and war. It is just like the people of the world never learned from history which we openly repeat or is it history repeating itself?

The editorial of Business Mirror dated October 6,2014 entitled 'Is PHL, a pawn of the US?',cited the following historical facts. It started with a regional rivalry named "The Great Game". It was a war game that Russia and Great Britain played in Central Asia which is now being played between China and US in South East Asia.

It started through intrigues, espionage and shifting alliances. A rivalry which could result into an open warfare between two superpowers and their proxies.

It cautioned us to walk a 'careful line' in our relation with China as regards to the U.S. Just like the advice of former Press secretary Hector Villanueva, a popular columnist of the Manila Bulletin, that the Philippine government should not expect too much from the Americans to operate in our interests and they usually have to protect first their interests.

It added that China and the US are playing a chess game in the region. It concluded that the Philippines could only be a pawn and pawns can be sacrificed any time.

That's another mind-opener. For conspiracy theorists, there's another mind boggling scenario that Tom Olago 'painted' at the prophecynewswatch.com last October 28,2014.

Olago cited Russian president Vladimir Putin as an example. Putin is allegedly viewed with a lot of mistrust and suspicion by the west. He is perceived as a threat to freedom in the west and the rest of the free world.

What was strange is the notion that both east and west are actually working towards the same end-goals using largely similar means.

The psy-op of a 'new cold war' is reportedly a convenient smokescreen, diverting the world's attention to the fact that Putin and his allies are actually working in tandem with the west towards one major mutual goal, the establishment of a 'New World Order', a system of political and economic global governance and control of humanity.

Alex Newman in his article at the New American.com said that Putin, a former KGB boss, is following precisely the strategies toward world order outlined openly by the same western establishment he stands against. His vision is allegedly the imposition of a new 'multi-polar' world order, the same order sought by the globalist powerbrokers like Henry Kissinger, Zbigniew Brzezinski, etc.

The main objective  of the globalists new world order is to divide the world and nations into regions ruled by supranational institutions like the European Union relating orders to one another. These regional operation will become integrated and coordinated through a ruling body like the United Nations. I have written about it in the past.                          

It will be harmonized through the communities of economies, with integrated industries, technology, education,  science, etc.

Regional integration  include international legal courts, banking system and financial policing, peace keeping and law enforcement. It will all be a prelude to a global governance under a world body like the United Nations.

The alleged strategy to  achieve the said regional control by destroying nation-states, exploit them, create wars to accelerate the quest for global government through sudden transformation in national attitudes sufficient for the purpose through sudden, nasty and traumatic shocks. The aftermath of which will be managed and controlled by a global government through the so called 'New World Order'.

Putin's " Eurasian Economic Union", Xi Jinping's "Silk Road" ,the Asian Integration, the Greater Israel, CELAC,etc. are part and parcel of the regional integration before achieving a real world government.

Pundits suggested that another world war  is in the offing that will accelerate the move toward a global government. The nuclear stockpiling by superpowers is a clear indicator that most of them are setting the stage for such a  global revolution.

Olago got it right, the writing is on the wall.

Economics of War and Peace by Erick San Juan

"Business as usual in unusual times" was the punch line and the theme of the business forum hosted by the Manila Times at the Dusit Hotel in Makati City the other day.

The forum was a success with the former President Fidel Ramos as the main speaker.  To name a few popular personalities like Rodger Baker, vice president for East Asia  and Pacific of the Stratfor Global Intelligence, former Secretary Bobby Romulo of AIG Insurance Inc., NEDA Sec. Arsenio Balisacan  and Wang Yang, head of commercial affairs of China Embassy in the Philippines as other resource speakers.

The forum aimed to lead in intelligent brainstorming on how to do business in both China and the Philippines thus avoiding frictions between the two nations, crafting mutually business relations and assist both government leaders reconcile their differences.

Instead of political bickerings with economics in mind, saber rattlings can be averted and it will be a good prescription for peace and prosperity.

Rodger Baker of Stratfor and Richard Cant of Dezan Shira &Associates explained how they help in identifying opportunities, make strategic decisions, manage risk and how to establish operations in the region.

The input in this forum could be a wake up call to 'hawks' and 'chicken hawks' here and in China that peace is still achievable through regular dialogue and economic bilateral agreements.

The forum could be of help to President BS Aquino III, in time for his trip to China next month to attend the APEC international conference in addressing sensitive issues like the joint exploration of gas and oil in the contested areas in the South China Sea.

The perceived hindrance is the 'big brother'. Will the American government permit it? Despite the knowledge of the world that we are treated like a territory of the US, the Filipinos  nowadays have awakened to the issue that most of our leaders have been known to be 'stooges' of Uncle Sam.

We are treated not as a co-equal and always shortchanged because of our colonial mentality plus most of our leaders are allegedly blackmailed to follow orders.

We never contested our treaties with the US. We signed the MDT(Mutual Defense Treaty) with the US on August 1951 in Washington DC. Despite the agreement that both US and the Philippines support each other especially if there's an external aggression, it's only the Philippine congress who ratified the treaty, not the US. Making the treaty a one sided agreement.

What was not told was how the Philippine senate was gypped to vote against the extension of the bases. The truth of the matter, an expert volcanologist, Dr. Kelvin Rodolfo, accurately predicted the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo years before it happened and saved the nuclear armaments and the US military arsenals stored at Clark and Subic base.

The worst, the Senate won in ousting the Americans without asking them to leave some of their weaponry to secure us and gave our AFP military capability to fight and protect our nation.

When the volcano stabilized, the need for basing right was revived and initiated by some pro-American legislators. In the guise that we are defenseless against external attacks, the Visiting Forces Agreement was approved by then President Joseph Estrada, one of the signatories in the ouster of the US bases.

To circumvent our constitution which prohibits the permanent basing rights of foreign troops, the VFA initiators played with words saying the presence of the US troops is on a rotational basis, plus the usual community assistance like medical, construction and civic actions.  

The problem lies with the  lopsided deal that just in case of foreign aggression, there is no assurance that the US will automatically act to support and fight for us.

I have seen how other nations handled the US bases in their homeland. A so called 'house rules' should be respected like what the US military is observing in the former Southcom. Thanks to the DND's constant monitoring and proper communication with it's counterpart.

What went wrong? The Nicole rape case and the Jeffrey Laude, a transvestite killed in Olongapo  by a drunk US Serviceman in a motel should be a lesson to our government.

Proper coordination must be made before hand especially with local government units to be strict and should not give permits to bars and restaurants acting as sex exchange if we want to be respected by these visitors.

DND Sec. Voltaire Gazmin claimed that abolishing the VFA as initiated by Sen. Miriam Defensor Santiago will hurt our security. Do we have a choice? Especially now that China is flexing it's muscle and bullying us?

I prefer the Manila Times agenda that adheres to 'politics begin and end in economics' and have peace.

The Clock is Running Out by Erick San Juan

The Clock is Running Out by Erick San Juan

Cal Thomas of Townhall.com made a scary essay of what's going in and out of the USA. He said that some Americans refuse to watch the news on TV nor read the newspapers these days especially that the headlines are depressing and no one seems to be in charge.

The stock market is erratic, rises and falls, the Ebola virus is widely disseminated 24/7 for unknown reason, now infecting many people including American nationals, while the Obama administration pretends there isn't anything at all to worry about.

The ISIS who are known to be Muslims which Thomas believe is something to worry about because it's activity is very brutal and UN-Islamic killing not only Christians but Muslims too. The worst, they are state sponsored warriors recruited from all parts of the world as part of several military contractors operation.
Drudge report exposed that hackers are plotting big banking hit. I still remember that hackers worldwide have their usual annual international convention in Las Vegas.

The emerging chaos is so depressing that the world according to Thomas appears to be falling apart and America resembles 'Humpty Dumpty' after the fall, with no leader to put it back together. He recalled that the US used to lead the world in wealth, might, technology and innovation. What went wrong? He added that today, China just eclipsed the USA as the world's biggest economy.

This list of national dysfunction he mentioned doesn't even begin to address the US government's intrusion into the people's privacy, police actions using military weapons and threats.

Even the blog-economicrant.com commented that the big banks are now manipulating the price of gold and silver. Something huge is happening. There has never been a divergence like this in the history of metal trading. It confirmed the rumor that something massive is going on behind the scenes.

It reported that the ISIS/ISIL hoax is an excuse to destroy and attack Syria plus the Neocons are flirting with World War III.

The Fed allegedly has 50 times more of overprinted dollar than 100 Years ago. The dollar is not even backed by any precious metal. Half of all American households receive a monthly government check while the other half supports them. Meaning the Americans support the other half mainly seniors and unemployed. This is reportedly the tipping point and an end time wrong prescription.

The government is perceived to be broke and will allegedly 'rob Peter to pay Paul, but Peter is out of money.' The situation could lead to anarchy, martial law and FEMA camps in the process.

Real estate is collapsing like a virus not only in America but in the world. Many who used to be homeowners are now mere renters. The entire stock market is ready to crash. Thanks God that a planned crash last October 20 was aborted because experts are aware of the crisis by design.

The worst assessment was  reported by the Wall Street Daily.com. Floyd Brown justified that the US empire is crashing down and the alleged culprit is President Barack Obama. He said that Obama brought the US to the edge of ruin. It's no longer a conspiracy theory to wonder out loud if Obama wants America to fall. The president's decision is allegedly becoming more irresponsible. His administration could possibly be preparing for it's grand exit and with all intentions of taking everyone down with it.

Just like any leader that I know, most of them are beholden to their political financiers and these 'reptilians' are the known manipulators working behind the scene controlling presidents and leaders. They dictate the policy of a nation and if a leader defy their order, the authority to rule is taken back immediately either by assassination, destabilization or force resignation.

This is the reason that the world is in turmoil. The clock is running out especially for corrupt leaders who taught that they can get away with their crimes.                

Be vigilant!

Global Revolution by Erick San Juan

Everyday since the globalists invented the 'war on terror' and the man-made diseases like the HIV-AIDS, flu virus, avian flu,  H1N1, the Ebola,etc which are all stage managed crisis, we are bombarded 24/7 by many believe as 'fearmongering' spin. The CNN and the western media seem to be part of the scare bogey showing the ongoing regional wars in the middle east with ISIS, a known state sponsored terror group (who wants to install a Islamic caliphate but killing Muslims) as the main operator. Most of them are not even Arabs nor Muslims.

Just like in the movies, the Ebola virus contamination was like the movie, Contagion, The Zombie and the 24/7 TV series 'Walking Dead'. The Ebola scare is not yet a pandemic but we're told that there's no cure. Sounds familiar!

Even the World Bank President Jim Kim talked about the seriousness and the slow response of the world community to the alleged lethal Ebola virus.

Even our own DOH(Department of Health) was propped to propagate the awareness regarding Ebola and the need for vaccines. We were told by the representative of the WHO that there's no cure for Ebola. So what is the vaccine for? There's even a clamor from the WHO to recruit volunteer health workers to be deployed in Ebola devastated nations like Nigeria, Sierra Leone, Liberia and Nigeria.

Why expose our 'kababayan' to the disease? Despite the protective gears given to foreign health workers few died.   Aren't you wondering why is this happening? Why such weaponized viruses allegedly made in special labs are emerging all at the same time?

And worst is coming soon according to Tyler Durden's New Normal. He said that if Ebola will be a pandemic in America, the State of Public Health Emergency will allow bureaucrats to detain and force-vaccinate people without due process.

Last week, the global financial executives through the IMF had a meeting in Washington DC. But what was told to the media was not about the global economic problem nor solution to it. They talked about the ISIS and Ebola plus the focus on China as the world's no.1 economy today. Is this a deja vu of 'Et tu Brutus' ?

Remember how these same cabal said that Soviet Union will soon be the no.1 economy in the world and after several years collapsed in November 1989?

By reading the articles of some economic columnists like Ben D. Kritz of Manila Times in his recent article-"Hints of Trouble for Asia's Bustling Economy" and my fellow Rotarian Den Somera of the Philippine Daily Inquirer, wrote an article, "Scarier Days Ahead", you can smell rat in what's really going on in the world.

Even our friend, Boo Chanco of the Philippine Star said that despite the hype that China is now no.1, others insist that it will be sometime before China actually overtakes the US in raw terms, not adjusted for purchasing power. China is still more than $6.5 trillion lower than the US and isn't likely to overtake for quite some time.

Daniele Scalea, editor in chief of Geopolitica Journal wrote that there's a great challenge going on and the US attempt to maintain world power and the present relationship between Russia and China is an imposing competitors to the US.

He added that the US strategy after the fall of Soviet Union was to prevent rivals from growing strong by strengthening the US military power in key locations adjacent to the energy resources of the Middle East. Beth Day Romulo of the Philippine Panorama October 12,2014 confirmed that the plan of the US to shrink  the military are now unlikely to happen because America is fighting so many fronts.

Giulietto Chiesa cautioned that America's desire to control global resources creates a situation that gets increasingly dangerous with time.

Scalea explained that the establishment of the Greater Middle East Project by the Bush Jr. administration was to impose America's influence throughout the Middle East  and maintain economic and political domination by controlling the borders in the region, which is central to Europe, Eurasia, Russia, East Asia and Africa. The US policy is reportedly to neutralize any threat from Russia.

Political analyst Francois Marshall claimed that the attack in Afghanistan was not in the interest of counter-terrorism but for the purpose of establishing military bases in the former Soviet satellite states to limit the influence of Russia.

Political activist Ginette Skandrani cautions that with China and Russia regaining strength in the world market, it is questioned whether the US attempt to dominate through globalization and TPP will neutralize Russia and China's growth. Or are we on a course of conflict or a mutually assured destruction!

As what Robert Kaplan of Stratfor  predicted that the world is now in a super chaos mode. Anarchy and chaos are everywhere as told and a global revolution is in the offing. Scary indeed....

I would like to congratulate a good friend, Don Pepe Rodriguez, former director of Instituto Cervantes who recently launched his book, Front Pages of Philippine History at the Raffles hotel. "Felicitacion!"